Ethereum climbs over $3,400 before Trump’s big day–is a bigger rally ahead?


Ethereum saw an upswing, breaking through the $3,400 mark as the markets reacted to political waves leading toward a presidential inauguration.

After struggling for a week, from Jan. 11 to 17, Ethereum (ETH) broke the downward movement, pushed past its last resistance level of $3,400 and is currently trading at $3,406.72 at the time of writing.


Ethereum’s price breaks the $3,400 resistance, rallying to $3,424 as bullish momentum builds ahead of the anticipated Pectra upgrade and political developments. Source: crypto.news

This market optimism is driven by speculations that President-elect Donald Trump would sign an executive order related to cryptocurrency when he takes office on Jan. 20. 

Discussions are also underway for this order to include a directive for all federal agencies to review their crypto policies together with the possibility of suspending ongoing litigation against industry giants.

With a leadership change anticipated, the SEC decided to settle with Abra yesterday over unregistered crypto lending products. This has set a positive motion for the entire crypto market, which saw a 3.54% uptick in the last 24 hours, as per CoinMarketCap.

Trump’s crypto-friendly stance is further strengthened with the news that pro-crypto Congressman Tom Emmer was elected Vice Chair of the Digital Assets Subcommittee on Jan. 15. 

Another component which has led to ETH’s rise is the announcement of ETH’s upcoming Pectra Upgrade’s launch in the Execution Layer Meeting 203. The Pectra upgrade is eagerly awaited as a solution to some of Ethereum’s most challenging issues. 

Over the years, Ethereum has faced congestion and raised gas fees. The Pectra upgrade aims to upgrade the consensus layer and enhance transaction speed and efficiency while also establishing the groundwork for seamless interoperability between the Layer 2 solutions and the mainnet, which is especially crucial for the future of blockchain expansion. 

Ethereum’s price could rise further

According to the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) chart, ETH is providing buy signals, meaning that, at least for the near term, some upward momentum can be expected in price increases.

The MACD measures changes in momentum, indicating likely price trends, while HODL Waves reflect long-term holding behavior. Combined, they give an insight into future price movements. 


A MACD chart of Ethereum's price movements against the US Dollar, showcasing momentum shifts over a 5-minute timeframe. The chart features the MACD line, signal line, and histogram, with recent bullish momentum indicated by the MACD line crossing above the signal line.
Ethereum’s MACD signals bullish momentum, as the MACD line crosses above the signal line with positive histogram bars, indicating a potential continuation of the upward price trend fueled by market optimism and upcoming events like the Pectra upgrade. Source: crypto.news

A HODL Waves chart by Glassnode, depicting Ethereum’s price movements from 2016 to 2025 alongside the holding periods of ETH holders, categorized by durations ranging from 24 hours to over 10 years. The chart shows a high percentage of long-term holders (1 year and above) increasing over time, correlating with Ethereum’s price surges.
Glassnode’s HODL Waves chart illustrates strong long-term holding trends in Ethereum, with a growing percentage of ETH held for over a year, indicating investor confidence and reduced short-term selling pressure. Source: crypto.news

The holding wave, HODL, expresses strong long-term holding sentiment with a substantial supply of ETH being held for more than twelve months, showing lasting investor confidence and lessened short-term selling pressure. These great events point out that ETH is a likely candidate for a potential price uptick. However, ETH prices might have minor fluctuations as the market digests these developments. 



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